| 引用本文： |
-
黎倚晴,李勤勤,李腾飞,梁叶,谌治,王灿,方卫阳,李国卫,王好.船舶航运碳排放核算及驱动因素研究进展[J].海洋开发与管理,2026,43(2):13-29
|
|
| 本文已被：浏览 72次 下载 43次 |
码上扫一扫！ |
| 船舶航运碳排放核算及驱动因素研究进展 |
| 黎倚晴,李勤勤,李腾飞,梁叶,谌治,王灿,方卫阳,李国卫,王好 |
|
|
| 暨南大学环境与气候学院;广东广船国际海洋科技研究院有限公司 |
|
| 摘要: |
| 船舶航运是全球温室气体减排的关键与难点领域之一，其碳排放精准核算与关键驱动因素 识别是实现净零排放的理论基石。然而，现有研究对各类核算方法的适用性及局限性缺乏系统梳 理。文章系统整合国内外航运碳排放因子，构建多维排放因子库，综合评述多种典型航运碳排放 核算方法的特点与不足；总结全生命周期评价的系统边界及替代燃料的碳足迹，凸显从“油箱到 尾迹”向“从源到尾”全生命周期评价框架转变的根本性意义；阐述航运碳排放关键驱动因素的 识别与量化方法；剖析航运碳排放核算不确定性来源，明确指出数据质量及动态表征不足是制约 精准核算的核心瓶颈。研究指出，未来应着力构建多元动态排放因子数据库，发展融合多因子驱 动的综合核算框架，探索航运减污降碳协同路径，建立航运全生命周期碳足迹评估体系，为推动 航运业绿色净零转型提供科学依据。 |
| 关键词: 二氧化碳 船舶航运 排放因子 排放估算 全生命周期评价 |
| DOI：10.20016/j.cnki.hykfygl.2026.02.009 |
| 投稿时间：2025-11-29修订日期：2026-01-21 |
| 基金项目:广东省海洋经济发展专项 GDNRC〔2024〕40． |
|
| A Review on Estimation and Driving Forces of Carbon Emissions in Ship Transportation |
| LI Yiqing,LI Qinqin,LI Tengfei,LIANG Ye,CHEN Zhi,WANG Can,FANG Weiyang,LI Guowei,WANG Hao |
| College of Environment and Climate，Jinan University;GSI Marine Research Center |
| Abstract: |
| The ship transportation is one of the critical and complex sectors in global greenhouse gas emission reduction．The accurate estimation of its carbon emissions and identification of key driving factors are fundamental to achieving net-zero emission targets．However，a systematic review of the applicability and limitations of various accounting methodologies is still lacking．This review synthesizes carbon emission factors from domestic and international research and establishes a multidimensional emission factor database．It provides a comprehensive review of the characteristics and shortcomings of predominant carbon emission estimation methods for shipping．The system boundaries of life cycle assessment and the carbon footprints of alternative fuels are summarized，highlighting the fundamental significance of shifting from a“Tank-to-Wake”to a“Well-to-Wake”life cycle assessment framework．It also elaborates on approaches for identifying and quantifying key emission drivers．The sources of uncertainty in shipping carbon emission estimation are further analyzed．This analysis clearly indicates that inadequate data quality and insufficient representation of dynamic operation are the core bottlenecks constraining accurate carbon accounting．This review proposes that future research should prioritize developing a multivariate and dynamic emission factor database，advancing integrated accounting frameworks incorporating multiple driving factors，exploring synergistic pathways for pollution reduction and carbon mitigation in shipping，and instituting a holistic life-cycle carbon footprint evaluation framework for shipping．These efforts aim to provide a scientific basis for promoting the shipping industry’s transition toward green and net-zero operations． |
| Key words: Carbon dioxide Ship transportation Emission factors Emission estimation Life cycle assessment |
